Justin S. Mankin

|Associate Professor
Academic Appointments
  • Associate Professor, Department of Geography

  • Graduate Program in Ecology, Evolution, Ecosystems, & Society (EEES)

  • Adjunct Associate Research Scientist, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory

  • Co-lead National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Drought Task Force

Mankin's research on climate variability and change is motivated by the risks global warming poses to ecosystems and people. Using both observations and process-based models, his efforts focus on constraining three of the major sources of uncertainty in climate changes, past, present, and future: the chaos innate to the climate system, the complexity of how people and ecosystems induce and respond to climate stress, and how model choices influence model answers. In his previous career, Dr. Mankin worked overseas as an intelligence officer.


Fairchild, Room 113A
HB 6017




  • Ph.D. Stanford University
  • M.P.A. Columbia University
  • M.Sc. London School of Economics
  • B.A. Columbia University

Selected Publications

  • Callahan, C. (G) & J. S. Mankin, Persistent effect of El Niño on global economic growth, Science (2023) 10.1126/science.adf2983.

  • Gottlieb, A. (G) & J. S. Mankin, Snow drought & its impacts: insights from quantifying and sourcing specific uncertainties, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2023).

  • Callahan, C. (G), N. J. Dominy, J. M. DeSilva, & J. S. Mankin, Global warming, home runs,
    and the future of America's pastime, The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2023)10.1175/BAMS- D-22-0235.1.

  • Coffel, E.  (P), C. Lesk (P), & J. S. Mankin (2022) Earth System Model overestimation of cropland temperatures scales with agricultural intensity, Geophysical Research Letters DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097135.

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Selected Works & Activities

  • Associate Editor, Earth's Future, a journal of the American Geophysical Union

  • Associate Editor, Journal of Climate, a journal of the American Meteorological Society

  • Member Representative, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

  • Member, American Meteorological Society Climate Variability & Change Commmittee